Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Maddow leaves out Important Context in Describing The History of Republican plans to Modify Social Security and Medicare


Sigh. Some titles can’t be shortened.

Yesterday, May 23rd, 2011, Rachel Maddow described some of the History of Republican plans to modify Social Security and Medicare.



Throughout the segment, Maddow fails to give her listeners adequate explanations of what the Bush and Ryan plans would have actually done to Social Security and Medicare. I will explain those plans along with the two plans (Goldwater, Regan) that she described correctly.

Goldwater

In 1964, Barry Goldwater ran as the republican presidential candidate against Lyndon Johnson. He is one of the founders of modern conservatism and remains a conservative icon, almost as revered as Ronald Regan.

During an interview with the New York Times Sunday Magazine in November 1963, Goldwater said,

I think social security ought to be voluntary. This is the only definite position I have on it. If a man wants it, fine. If he does not want it, he can provide his own.

Turning Social Security into a voluntary program would ruin the program in two ways. 

First, when people are left to decide for themselves, they don’t save for retirement. In 2010 CNN Money found that 43 percent of Americans have less than $10,000 saved for retirement. As anti-libertarian as it may seem, the brilliance of Social Security is that it is mandatory. The social welfare programs enacted in the past 100 years have gone a long way towards reducing poverty among the elderly.

Second, the Social Security program pays current retirees with the money from current taxpayers, not from the revenue they (or their generation) put into the system. Thus, if current tax payers opted out of the program, current retirees would lose the benefits they earned by paying into the system in their working days.

Thus Goldwater’s plan would have destroyed social Security.

Regan

In 1961, when Medicare was proposed in Congress, Ronald Regan opposed it. He said that if citizens didn’t write their congressmen to prevent Medicare’s passage that,

You and I are going to spend our sunset years telling our children, and our children’s children, what it once was like in America when men were free.

Medicare is one of the most popular programs ever created in America, and seniors love the program. Similar attacks were made on Obama’s Health Care Reform and if one listens to the Regan recording today, you could easily forget that he was talking about the now beloved Medicare instead of the still contentious Obamacare.

Bush

Here is where the fact check begins. Maddow said of Bush’s Social Security plan that,

George W. Bush said that he would use all the political capital he earned by winning reelection in 2004 to try to dismantle Social Security, to try to privatize Social Security. Even the 60 Plus Association, [….] brags on its website that they are on the record for the privatization of the Social Security system.

While the description of the 60 Plus Association bolsters her case, her description of the Bush plan for Social Security is, at best, incomplete. 

Under Bush’s Social Security plan, workers would have eventually been given the option to invest a third of their Social Security taxes into private accounts. The program would be entirely voluntary and only a third of Social Security would be privatized, at most. Maddow’s viewers would not have known either of these important aspects of the Bush plan from her report.

The plan would improve Social Security’s solvency, the amount of time that the program would pay full benefits. The plan would also yield a higher rate of return for retirees than the Treasuries that current Social Security revenues are invested in. However, it would also put a portion of Social Security benefits at risk, and if there was another stock market collapse, seniors would have lost even more of their retirement money than they did in the 2008 crash. That is why in my opinion (and it is an opinion) that Bush’s plan would have weakened Social Security. There are better options available to solve Social Security’s solvency problem.

Ryan

Finally, Maddow says Paul Ryan’s Medicare proposal would, “Kill Medicare.” This is a very poor description of Paul Ryan’s plan.

Paul Ryan’s Medicare plan would give those who are 54 and younger a voucher (or “premium support” as the Republicans call it) when they are old enough for Medicare. They would use this voucher to buy insurance off the private market. The voucher would increase with regular inflation but not with medical inflation. The plan would essentially save the government money by passing rising medical costs onto seniors. Private health plans would also be incredibly expensive. How high must premiums be for an insurance company to profit from insuring the elderly, the group with the highest medical costs?

Medicare was created to cover the medical costs of the elderly, a group that is next to impossible to insure otherwise. It has been an incredibly successful program and Ryan’s plan would change the very nature of Medicare.

That being said, the government would still provide a program to help insure the elderly. Medicare would be drastically changed by the proposal which would end Medicare as we know it. Those four words, “as we know it,” are incredibly important. They get the point across in a way that acknowledges that there would still be government program to help cover the insurance costs for the elderly, while simultaneously pointing out that the plan would require seniors to pay dramatically higher costs for health insurance.

Conclusion

Republicans have repeatedly attempted to prevent, destroy, and weaken Social Security and Medicare over the years. Democrats have profited electorally by pointing this out. But they must also do so in a way that is honest about the plans they oppose. Maddow erred in her descriptions of the Bush plan for Social Security and the Ryan plan for Medicare. While she is right to point out the negative aspects of these proposals, she must do so in such a way that her viewers fully understand the plans she is discussing. Doing so would help advance the unofficial mission of the Rachel Maddow show to “increase the amount of useful information in the world.”


P.S. This post was a beast to research and write. I hope you found it useful.



Originally posted May 24, 2011

Friday, May 20, 2011


Journalistic Greatness
The Fourth Estate is Alive and Well

Various news organizations do great work in uncovering the truth and holding the powerful accountable. What follows are my choices for some of the greatest reporting done over the past few months.

Journalism

CBS                  60 Minutes uncovered that much of the story in Greg Mortenson’s book, Three Cups of Tea, is inaccurate and that his charity mismanages its funds. I read part of the book for a college class. This reporting allows philanthropists to donate their money to more honest and effective organizations.

ABC                 Nightline found that Tax Masters was under investigation for deceptive practices in 2 states. Their customers end up giving large sums of money on Tax Masters and getting no tax relief (their consultants are salesmen, not tax professionals). In the meantime, penalties and interest collect on customer’s debt. Fox News and CNN continue to carry Tax Masters advertisements and accept add money from them, unjustifiably transferring the credibility of their brands to Tax Masters.

NBC                 Andrea Mitchell pushed former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld on a variety of decisions that were made under his watch in the Bush Administration. He denied creating the Office of Special Plans, denied deciding to invade Iraq immediately after 9/11, and denied that the premature announcement of General Shinseki’s replacement was meant to show that dissent wouldn’t be tolerated on national security issues. I don’t know enough about the Iraq war to gage whether Rumsfeld was being honest, but I do know that Andrea Mitchell’s pursuit of answers shows her master skills as a journalist. My favorite quote from the interview is from Andrea Mitchell, “Mr. Secretary, you know what stove-piping means.”

AJ                     Al Jazeera had a camera-man imprisoned in Guantanamo for 6 years for covering the war in Afghanistan. Al Jazeera had one of its Journalists imprisoned in Iran for reporting on the democratic uprising in Syria. For having the courage to report from dangerous conflict areas and to temporarily lose their liberty in the process, these correspondents for Al Jazeera have shown they are persistent in their pursuit for truth.

Media Commentary

Media Matters            MMFA showed the absurd way that many in the conservative media covered the death of Osama Bin Laden. Some speculated that he might not even be dead, others ignored their own criticism of Obama for saying that he would go into Pakistan without telling the Pakistanis to get a high level terrorist target, and many falsely crediting the success to water-boarding.

Mediaite’s
Tommy Christopher    Tommy Christopher showed how Olbermann used Twitter to lobby a personal attack upon someone he disagrees with politically by wishing she was never born. This is exactly what bullying looks like. Tommy’s criticism is clear and to the point. His ability to criticize a fellow liberal shows he places fairness above party.

Jon Stewart                 Stewart showed the absurdity of Fox’s attack on the white house for inviting the rapper Common to a poetry reading. The “controversy” distracted from more important issues, was incredibly hypocritical as Fox has had many guests in the past which have advocated violence, and the criteria of Fox’s attack would result in many music greats being barred from the White House.

For No Particular Reason

Steven Colbert            His interview with the Chairman of the President’s Council of Economic Advisors, Austin Goolsbee, is hilarious and shows exactly why the debt ceiling must be raised. You must watch it.




UPDATE (6/20/11): Tax Masters is now advertising on MSNBC too. A pox on all your houses!


Originally posted May 20, 2011

Sunday, May 8, 2011

The Fox News Presidential Debate


On Thursday May 5th, Fox News hosted the first republican presidential debate of the 2012 campaign, six months after the 2010 election. In America, it is always campaign season.

While I have been and will continue to be critical of Fox News, they did an outstanding job hosting the debate. All of the questions dealt with serious policy issues. The main topics were national security, the economy, health care, and the national debt. The candidates were questioned from a variety of ideological positions by Bret Baier, Chris Wallace, Shannon Bream, and Juan Williams.

Five candidates participated in the debate: Ron Paul, Gary Johnson, Herman Cain, Tim Pawlenty, and Rick Santorum. None of the candidates were given preferential treatment, contrary to the concerns raised by many liberals that having future presidential candidates on the Fox payroll would give them a leg up during the Fox debates.

I found it gratifying that Ron Paul and Gary Johnson are both for an end to the Afghan war.  Even though they are black horse candidates with little chance of winning the nomination, I am glad that someone is challenging the white house position on the issue.

However, both Paul and Johnson are libertarians who hold positions that I strongly disagree with. Ron Paul is against foreign aid and the Federal Reserve. Gary Johnson is against unemployment benefits and the minimum wage. These policies would gravely harm our economy and hurt the most vulnerable in our country and abroad.

For the past year or so, liberal outlets like MSNBC and The Daily Show have treated Tim Pawlenty as a moderate, likely because he is one of the few republican candidates who will come on their shows. This debate has shown that, on social issues, he is anything but moderate. He opposes embryonic stem cell research except for embryos that have already been destroyed. Even though I am largely pro-choice, I have sympathy for the pro-life argument because it is rather difficult to determine when life begins and fetuses gain many of the aspects of their humanity (consciousness, pain, viability) during pregnancy. But Embryos have none of these qualities. Judging by the potential of stem cell research to cure or treat various debilitating diseases, only those who believe that life begins at conception take this position.

Pawlenty also stated that he believes that the issue of whether to teach intelligent design in public schools should be left to local school boards. That would leave open the possibility for schools to give equal weight in science classes to intelligent design, a religious and philosophical position, as they would to evolution, a scientific theory backed by over a hundred years of fossil and experimental evidence.

The most interesting aspect of the debate was the audience reactions. The largest applause came from statements against the war in Afghanistan and statements in favor of torture, two positions you would think would be in conflict.

All in all, the debate was professional, well run, and illuminated much about these little known candidates. It will be absolutely fascinating to see how this election season unfolds.



UPDATE: The Daily Show did a segment on the debate and shared many of my reactions to it. Stewart also highlighted how Pawlenty's policy positions took a turn to the hard right by abandoning various previous positions.

Originally Posted Sunday May 8, 2011

Saturday, May 7, 2011


Where do People turn for News?
May Update



I wrote a post in March comparing the audience sizes of various sources of news. 
 
Since then, I have found data that is more representative (Evening News, Morning Shows, Sunday News Shows), more recent (Newspapers, Cable News, Talk Radio), and covers new categories (Opinion Magazines, News Magazines, Television News Magazines). 
 
Only at Truth Matters can someone compare the viewership of news across so many diverse mediums. 
 
Inclusion on this list is only meant to show the reach of a news source, not to comment on its credibility or value.





The following numbers represent the average circulation of weekly opinion news magazines for 2010.
My Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, 2011 State of the News Media
Original Source: Audit Bureau of Circulations

1.  National Review                                                                             203,085
2. The Nation                                                                                      146,602
3. The Weekly Standard                                                                       99,033





          PBS

The following statistic represents the average daily viewership of the PBS Newshour for the month of March 2011. Obtained from PBS through the Huffington Post.  

PBS Newshour                                                                              1,100,000
 
 
 
 
     



The following numbers represent the average daily viewership of Comedy Central’s satirical news shows for the month of May 2011. These numbers come from the website TV by the Numbers which obtained them from a Comedy Central Press release.

The Daily Show                                                              2,300,000
The Colbert Report                                                         1,600,000
 
 
 
 





The following numbers represent the average weekday circulation of the largest US newspapers. The data was compiled by the Audit Bureau of Circulations which studied the period from October 2010-March 2011, accessed through the Huffington Post.


1. The Wall Street Journal                                                              2,117,796       
2. USA Today                                                                                    1,829,099     
3. The New York Times                                                                       916,911        
4. Los Angeles Times                                                                          605,243
5. San Jose Mercury News                                                                577,665
            (includes all of MediaNews’ Bay Area papers combined)        
 
6. The Washington Post                                                                    550,821       
7. New York Daily News                                                                    530,924        
8. New York Post                                                                                522,874           
9. Chicago Tribune                                                                             437,205  
10. Chicago Sun Times                                                                      419,409         
 
18. St. Petersburg (Fla.) Times                                                        292,441          
19. The Oregonian of Portland                                                        260,248 
 
 
 
 
 



Although never explicitly stated on my source, Huffington Post, the following numbers represent the daily average viewership of the top 30 cable news shows in the month of April. The original source was not stated, but it was likely Neilson ratings.



1. The O’Reilly Factor                                                              2,925,000
2. Hannity                                                                                  2,059,000
3. Special Report with Bret Baier                                              1,970,000
4. Glenn Beck                                                                             1,867,000
5. Fox Report with Shepard Smith                                              1,724,000
6. On the Record with Greta van Susteren                                  1,698,000
7. Your World with Neil Cavuto                                                  1,344,000
8. The O’Reilly Factor (11 PM Repeat)                                       1,237,000
9. America’s Newsroom                                                               1,212,000
10. America Live                                                                          1,119,000
11. Studio B                                                                                  1,089,000
12. The Rachel Maddow Show                                                     1,039,000
13. Fox and Friends                                                                       1,027,000
14. The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell                                 958,000
15. Happening Now                                                                          942,000
16. The Ed Show                                                                               825,000
17. Anderson Cooper 360                                                                  706,000
18. Hardball with Chris Matthews                                                     664,000
19. Piers Morgan Tonight                                                                   625,000
20. The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer                                         600,000
21. The Last Word (repeat)                                                                 531,000
21. CNN Newsroom                                                                            531,000
23. AC 360 (repeat)                                                                             525,000
24. John King USA                                                                             523,000
25. In the Arena                                                                                  515,000
26. Nancy Grace                                                                                 464,000
27. Morning Joe                                                                                  455,000
28. The Daily Rundown                                                                      436,000
29. MSNBC Live                                                                                 393,000
30. Red Eye                                                                                        387,000
 
 
 
 
 
                                                                                        

 
 
The following numbers represent the average circulation of weekly news magazines in the year 2010. My Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, 2011 State of the News Media
Original Source: Audit Bureau of Circulations

1.  Time                                                                                                3,313,715
2. Newsweek                                                                                        1,578,691
3. US News and World Report                                                             1,073,292
4. The New Yorker                                                                               1,029,742
5.  The Economist                                                                                    828,181
6. The Week                                                                                             517,187
7. The Atlantic                                                                                         476,517








 
The following numbers represent the average viewership for the Sunday News Shows for the first quarter (January-March) of 2011. My Source: TV Newser. The Original Source was not listed, but I assume it was Neilson ratings.

1.       Meet the Press                                 NBC                                      3,520,000
2.       Face the Nation                                CBS                                      3,000,000
3.       This Week                                       ABC                                       2,600,000
4.       Fox News Sunday                           Fox News                               1,350,000
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
The following numbers represent the daily average viewership of the network morning shows in 2010.
 
My Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, 2011 State of the News Media
 
Original Source: Neilson Media Research


1.       Today                                           NBC                              5,300,000
2.       Good Morning America              ABC                               4,300,000
3.       The Early Show                           CBS                                2,900,000
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
The following numbers represent the average daily evening news viewership for the three network news networks for 2010. 
 
My Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, 2011 State of the News Media
 
Original Source: Neilson Media Research


1.       NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams                                  8,500,000
2.       ABC World News with Diane Sawyer                                      7,430,000
3.       CBS Evening News with Katie Couric                                      5,650,000
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Several Network News shows were written to imitate the style of journalism found in Magazines. The following numbers represent the average nightly viewership for various television news magazines in 2010. 
 
My Source: Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, 2011 State of the News Media
 
Original Source: Nielsen Media Research

1. 60 minutes                                                                            11,700,000
2. Dateline Friday                                                                       6,000,000
3. 48 hours mystery                                                                    5,600,000
4. 20/20                                                                                      5,500,000
5. Dateline Sunday                                                                     4,500,000
6. Nightline                                                                                 3,700,000
 
 
 
 



 
The following numbers represent the weekly audience for NPR’s news shows. As these are weekly, as opposed to daily, audience sizes, they are not directly comparable to most other categories listed in this post. My Source: The New York Review of Books. The original source was not listed.


1.       Morning Edition                                                     13,000,000
2.       All Things Considered                                           13,000,000
 
 
 
 
 
 



 
The following numbers represent the cumulative weekly audience of various talk radio hosts. As these are weekly, as opposed to daily, viewership values, they are not directly comparable to most other categories listed in this post. 
 
My Source: TALKERS magazine
 
Original Source: Arbitron, among others

1.   The Rush Limbaugh Show                                                               15,000,000
2.   The Sean Hannity Show                                                                   14,000,000
3.   The Glenn Beck Program                                                                   9,000,000
3.  The Savage Nation                                                                               9,000,000
5.  The Mark Levin Show                                                                         8,500,000
5.  Dave Ramsey                                                                                       8,500,000
7.  Neal Boortz                                                                                          6,000,000
7.  Laura Ingraham                                                                                    6,000,000
17.  The Alan Colmes Radio Show                                                           2,750,000
17.  The Ed Shultz Show                                                                           2,750,000
 
 
 
 
 


Other Statistics

 
For comparison’s sake, relevant numbers about the United States are listed below.

Population of the United States:                                           307,006,550
2010 Voting Eligible Population:                                          218,054,301

2010 Voter Turnout:                                                                 41.6%
Number of people who voted in the 2010 election:                 90,682,968

2008 Voter Turnout:                                                              62.2%
Number of people who voted in the 2008 election:              132,645,504        


Number of people who watched Obama's speech 
on Bin Laden's death                                                          56,500,000






Originally Posted May 7, 2011