FiveThirtyEight's final predictions

FiveThirtyEight has finalized its election forecast model, which gives Biden an 89% chance of winning the electoral college.

The model predicts North Carolina and Georgia will go to Biden. It predicts Ohio, Iowa, and Texas will go to Trump.

 

 

*****

 

FiveThirtyEight's final US Senate model gives Democrats a 75% chance of winning control of the chamber.

 

North Carolina and Georgia Special are considered Lean Democratic. Maine, Georgia, and Iowa are considered toss-ups. Montana is considered Lean Republican.

 

 

*****

 

FiveThirtyEight's final US House model gives Democrats a 97% chance to maintain their majority in the chamber. 

 

KS-1 and KS-4 are considered Solid Republican. 

 

KS-2 is considered Likely Republican. 

 

KS-3 is considered Solid Democratic.